Exchange Focus
CME Group: After Multiple Hikes, Could Fed Resort to Cutting Rates Next?

January 2019

Fed fund futures are signalling that the Fed, which raised interest rates nine times in the current cycle, could remain optimal in 2019 and possibly cut rates in January 2020 amid economic headwinds and some expectations for the ultra-low unemployment rate to begin inching higher.


  • Fed fund futures signal no Fed interest rate moves in 2019
  • Futures indicate a 24% chance of an interest-rate cut in January 2020
  • Will Fed change its indications for at least two rate hikes in 2019?
  • Possible rate cut linked to concerns that unemployment rate might rise.

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